Economic Commentary
Real money supply and the real price of petroleum, examined
ECONOMY & POLICY May 19, 2023 Chief Economist Eugenio J. Alemán discusses current economic conditions. The phrase “The dogs are barking Sancho, a sign that we are moving forward!” is used in Spanish to convey that if there is a lot of noise, it is because what we are doing is effective, and someone […]
Inflation continued its disinflationary path in April…
ECONOMY & POLICY May 12, 2023 Chief Economist Eugenio J. Alemán discusses current economic conditions. This week’s inflation numbers were mostly positive and benign for the U.S. economy as well as for the Federal Reserve (Fed) and confirms our view that, at least for now, the Fed is done increasing interest rates for this […]
What happens if the debt ceiling isn’t raised?
ECONOMY & POLICY May 08, 2023 While unlikely to occur, a default on U.S. debt would have serious impacts on global financial markets. Learn more. Lawmakers in Washington set government spending and revenue plans every fiscal year, usually producing a shortfall that many of us know as the federal budget deficit. The accumulation of […]
Providing perspective on the regional bank turmoil
ECONOMY & POLICY May 08, 2023 With regional bank volatility grabbing headlines, CIO Larry Adam looks at what this activity means for the economy and asset classes. To read the full article, see the Thoughts on the Market publication linked below. Over the past two weeks, the regional banking turmoil has reemerged as First […]