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Economic Commentary

Here we go again: Showdowns and shutdowns

ECONOMY & POLICY September 29, 2023   Chief Economist Eugenio J. Alemán discusses current economic conditions. While government shutdowns impact the economy directly and indirectly, the magnitude of the impact is determined by the length and scope of the shutdown. Some operations can continue in a “partial shutdown” scenario, and thus impact the economy differently. […]

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The Match Continues: The Fed vs. The Market

ECONOMY & POLICY September 22, 2023   Chief Economist Eugenio J. Alemán discusses current economic conditions. Wednesday’s Federal Reserve (Fed) decision to keep the federal funds rate unchanged wasn’t a surprise at all. Markets, as we argued last week, had predicted that the Fed was going to stay put and that is what it did. […]

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To increase or not to increase: That is the question

ECONOMY & POLICY September 15, 2023   Chief Economist Eugenio J. Alemán discusses current economic conditions. Markets are convinced that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is going to pause its interest rate campaign after it finalizes its Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday, September 20. While markets are trying to guess what the Fed […]

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