Economic Commentary
Income and expenditures in January 2023
ECONOMY & POLICY February 24, 2023 Chief Economist Eugenio J. Alemán discusses current economic conditions. The January 2023 personal income and expenditures report was another confirmation that the U.S. economy is far from slowing down, even as the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to increase interest rates in order to try to push businesses to […]
Retail sales confirm a strong start for 2023
ECONOMY & POLICY February 17, 2023 Chief Economist Eugenio J. Alemán discusses current economic conditions. The economic numbers that have been released so far this year seem to be pointing to a strong performance for the U.S. economy. We still don’t know if these results are a consequence of warmer temperatures during the month […]
Understanding the market’s mindset – all about the Fed
MARKETS & INVESTING February 17, 2023 Review the latest Weekly Headings by CIO Larry Adam. Key Takeaways Wage growth would keep inflation from quickly easing Consumer strength defies the Fed’s intent to cool demand Growing probability that a recession could be avoided ‘Good news is bad news, and bad news is good news.’ Have […]
Is a recession this year unavoidable?
ECONOMY & POLICY February 10, 2023 Chief Economist Eugenio J. Alemán discusses current economic conditions. The short answer to this question is, no, not at all. The long answer, however, is trickier than it seems. So far, the majority of the sectors of the economy that have a higher sensitivity to high interest rates […]
