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Economic Commentary

Income and expenditures in January 2023

ECONOMY & POLICY February 24, 2023   Chief Economist Eugenio J. Alemán discusses current economic conditions. The January 2023 personal income and expenditures report was another confirmation that the U.S. economy is far from slowing down, even as the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to increase interest rates in order to try to push businesses to […]

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Retail sales confirm a strong start for 2023

ECONOMY & POLICY February 17, 2023   Chief Economist Eugenio J. Alemán discusses current economic conditions. The economic numbers that have been released so far this year seem to be pointing to a strong performance for the U.S. economy. We still don’t know if these results are a consequence of warmer temperatures during the month […]

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Is a recession this year unavoidable?

ECONOMY & POLICY February 10, 2023   Chief Economist Eugenio J. Alemán discusses current economic conditions. The short answer to this question is, no, not at all. The long answer, however, is trickier than it seems. So far, the majority of the sectors of the economy that have a higher sensitivity to high interest rates […]

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